leslie人口增长模型

9 951.4668194 10 1070.015717 11 1249.256063 12 1199.263988 13 1202.198525 14 1274.218917 15 1111.050839 16 992.3144255 17 893.7975435 18 874.6573467 19 984.3568772 20 859.5767785 21 852.1534601 22 908.6441803 23 897.9448075 24 880.5393233 25 1019.086724 26 1042.18667 27 1114.823731 28 1192.867199 29 1203.566572 30 1272.973995 31 1328.513576 32 1254.992403 33 1333.819445 34 1103.186123 35 1224.70307 36 1220.643442 37 1236.736319 38 1390.726415 39 980.7651115 40 646.684069 41 785.6606232 42 701.6275919 43 910.4201123 44 960.1576463 45 914.2587126 46 953.9805681 47 927.4299561 48 851.0077586 49 825.4823586 50 807.9428229 51 736.5520021 52 690.4320402 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0.04975282 4.478E-05 0.31969267 0.000322169 0.32019903 0.000358246 0.878684215 0.001004604 4.610104752 0.004683367 9.464941793 0.011011165 28.6464102 0.033616492 52.58813995 0.057875394 67.23067828 0.074871727 60.91747665 0.069182006 77.49047872 0.076039141 70.08595946 0.06724895 58.44954611 0.052429406 52.16702211 0.043732464 41.34311586 0.034350502 31.35682793 0.024632733 30.89130407 0.023252532 23.02138824 0.018343847 19.60884638 0.014701275 12.17913165 0.011039961 8.71689379 0.007117557 6.218986948 0.005094843 4.443481847 0.00359291 3.497479671 0.002514858 2.436986371 0.002484781 1.141209173 0.001764709 1.15621292 0.001471644 0.474969244 0.000676953 0.241694883 0.000265476 0.385478795 0.000401474 0.373729499 0.000408779 0.105364204 0.000110447 0.178438804 0.000192401 0.331399971 0.000389421 0.184965341

0.000224069

0 0 0 0 0

0 25

1.43283E-05 0.000610566 0.000275646 0.000198204 0.000372374 0.000295205 0.000360314 0.000271538 2.54672E-05 0.000826673 0.001045882 0.000558933 0.000642608 0.000709325 0.001000824 0.000118396 0.001103653 0.001644061 0.000864661 0.000925473 0.001127348 0.000819206 0.001081841 0.000953888 0.000957646 0.000603973 0.001375028 0.001747284 0.000402145 0.001289055 0.000996726 0.000556556 0.000858585 0.001227899 0.001059495 0.002094995 0.001625438 0.002216226 0.002403334 0.002655094 0.003045501 0.003330216 0.003969241 0.004993361 0.999985672 0.999389434 0.999724354 0.999801796 0.999627626 0.999704795 0.999639686 0.999728462 0.999974533 0.999173327 0.998954118 0.999441067 0.999357392 0.999290675 0.998999176 0.999881604 0.998896347 0.998355939 0.999135339 0.999074527 0.998872652 0.999180794 0.998918159 0.999046112 0.999042354 0.999396027 0.998624972 0.998252716 0.999597855 0.998710945 0.999003274 0.999443444 0.999141415 0.998772101 0.998940505 0.997905005 0.998374562 0.997783774 0.997596666 0.997344906 0.996954499 0.996669784 0.996030759 0.995006639

53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90+ 附录7: 附录8:

时间 2001 605.8029501 615.5106238 554.7856629 503.7013501 480.0517619 468.7228174 455.3640586 484.3865412 447.3446813 420.1644977 442.3803304 426.5290912 428.1838749 391.3295304 380.4091293 385.3399674 327.9245739 334.6977109 307.330012 262.8648337 270.6631827 235.8721654 208.7254946 212.001549 178.4567718 164.2603163 149.8428327 138.7349163 109.899949 97.35827722 76.5762 63.8135 55.79412278 49.39601634 38.2881 33.54477722 23.87061634 70.21160644 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.003842512 0.005352256 0.004220565 0.004347687 0.00422287 0.007522194 0.005030436 0.011869463 0.010715132 0.011296039 0.011697437 0.01579176 0.015504584 0.014701265 0.019937911 0.021071693 0.022641554 0.028873011 0.030696101 0.030020182 0.03594941 0.038259688 0.03270294 0.051697654 0.053428441 0.050358613 0.064050609 0.087510518 0.0738195 0.076242137 0.071242094 0.081769667 0.112238611 0.114693142 0.124821914 0.117504248 0.175571299 0.2282376 0.996157488 0.994647744 0.995779435 0.995652313 0.99577713 0.992477806 0.994969564 0.988130537 0.989284868 0.988703961 0.988302563 0.98420824 0.984495416 0.985298735 0.980062089 0.978928307 0.977358446 0.971126989 0.969303899 0.969979818 0.96405059 0.961740312 0.96729706 0.948302346 0.946571559 0.949641387 0.935949391 0.912489482 0.9261805 0.923757863 0.928757906 0.918230333 0.887761389 0.885306858 0.875178086 0.882495752 0.824428701 0.7717624 0-14 15-64 总人口 少儿 劳动年龄人口 非劳动年龄人口 13.4304 2.9258 9.429 4.0014 26

人口抚养比 0.424371619 2002 13.5364 2003 13.6443 2004 13.7443 2005 13.8383 2006 13.9268 2007 14.0112 2008 14.0941 2009 14.1771 2010 14.2609 2011 14.3471 2012 14.4341 2013 14.5218 2014 14.6071 2015 14.6866 2016 14.7582 2017 14.8219 2018 14.875 2019 14.9177 2020 14.9513 2021 14.9726 2022 14.9833 2023 14.985 2024 14.9775 2025 14.9657 2026 14.9499 2027 14.9296 2028 14.9071 2029 14.8814 2030 14.8536 2031 14.8212 2032 14.7842 2033 14.7455 2034 14.7035 2035 14.6589 2036 14.6122 2037 14.5616 2038 14.5076 2039 14.452 2040 14.3902 2041 14.3234 2042 14.251 2043 14.1726 2044 14.0882 2045 13.9969 2.8337 2.7506 2.6638 2.5632 2.499 2.459 2.428 2.4186 2.4112 2.4248 2.4542 2.4942 2.5583 2.6201 2.6612 2.6575 2.6528 2.646 2.6349 2.6187 2.5967 2.5667 2.5295 2.4858 2.4362 2.3821 2.3254 2.2685 2.2142 2.164 2.1197 2.0829 2.0542 2.0347 2.0248 2.0238 2.0306 2.0419 2.055 2.0677 2.0785 2.086 2.0898 2.0896 9.5927 9.7382 9.8884 10.044 10.154 10.2444 10.3248 10.3846 10.4421 10.4737 10.4821 10.4852 10.4483 10.4021 10.3588 10.3516 10.334 10.2975 10.2536 10.2151 10.1669 10.1299 10.1356 10.1294 10.1545 10.1197 10.0109 9.9327 9.8561 9.7756 9.7132 9.6009 9.4978 9.3744 9.2551 9.1426 9.0265 8.922 8.83 8.7423 8.6811 8.6177 8.5532 8.4999

27

3.9437 3.9061 3.8559 3.7943 3.7728 3.7668 3.7693 3.7925 3.8188 3.8734 3.952 4.0366 4.1588 4.2845 4.3994 4.4703 4.541 4.6202 4.6977 4.7575 4.8164 4.8551 4.8419 4.8363 4.7954 4.8099 4.8962 4.9487 4.9975 5.0456 5.071 5.1446 5.2057 5.2845 5.3571 5.419 5.4811 5.53 5.5602 5.5811 5.5699 5.5549 5.535 5.497 0.411114702 0.401111088 0.38994175 0.377767822 0.371558007 0.367693569 0.365072447 0.365204245 0.365711878 0.369821553 0.377023688 0.384980735 0.398036044 0.411887984 0.424701703 0.431846285 0.439423263 0.448672008 0.458151283 0.465732102 0.47373339 0.4792841 0.477712222 0.477451774 0.472243833 0.475300651 0.489086895 0.498223041 0.507046398 0.516142232 0.522073055 0.535845598 0.548095348 0.563716078 0.578826809 0.592719795 0.607223176 0.619816185 0.629694224 0.638401794 0.641612238 0.644591944 0.647126222 0.646713491

2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 附录9: 时间 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 13.9008 13.8024 13.6979 13.5909 13.4864 13.3757 2.0852 2.0764 2.063 2.0449 2.022 1.9948 8.4454 8.3682 8.3124 8.2544 8.1799 8.0856 5.4554 5.4342 5.3855 5.3365 5.3065 5.2901 0.645961115 0.649386965 0.647887493 0.646503683 0.648724312 0.654261898 65以上的60以上65以上人口占总老年人数 老年人数 人口抚养比 人口的比例 1.0756 1.5538 0.42437162 0.080086967 1.11 1.5895 0.4111147 0.082001123 1.1555 1.6361 0.40111109 0.084687379 1.1921 1.6815 0.38994175 0.086734137 1.2311 1.7291 0.37776782 0.08896324 1.2738 1.784 0.37155801 0.09146394 1.3078 1.8486 0.36769357 0.093339614 1.3413 1.9078 0.36507245 0.095167481 1.3739 1.9809 0.36520424 0.096909805 1.4076 2.0593 0.36571188 0.098703448 1.4486 2.1488 0.36982155 0.10096814 1.4978 2.2377 0.37702369 0.10376816 1.5424 2.3288 0.38498073 0.106212728 1.6005 2.432 0.39803604 0.109570004 1.6644 2.537 0.41188798 0.113327795 1.7382 2.6297 0.4247017 0.117778591 1.8128 2.729 0.43184628 0.122305507 1.8882 2.8141 0.43942326 0.126937815 1.9742 2.8529 0.44867201 0.132339436 2.0628 2.907 0.45815128 0.137967936 2.1388 2.9286 0.4657321 0.142847602 2.2197 3.0145 0.47373339 0.148144935 2.2884 3.1803 0.4792841 0.152712713 2.3124 3.309 0.47771222 0.154391587 2.3505 3.4313 0.47745177 0.157059142 2.3592 3.5502 0.47224383 0.157807076 2.4278 3.6397 0.47530065 0.162616547 2.5708 3.7717 0.4890869 0.172454736 2.6802 3.8835 0.49822304 0.180104022 2.7833 4.0069 0.5070464 0.187382183 2.8816 4.1135 0.51614223 0.194424203 2.9513 4.2005 0.52207306 0.199625276 3.0617 4.2821 0.5358456 0.207636228 28

60以上人口占总人口的比例 0.115692757 0.11742413 0.119910879 0.122341625 0.124950319 0.128098343 0.131937307 0.135361605 0.139725332 0.144401826 0.149772428 0.155028717 0.160365795 0.166494376 0.1727425 0.178185687 0.184119445 0.189183193 0.191242618 0.194431253 0.195597291 0.201190659 0.212232232 0.220931397 0.229277615 0.23747316 0.243790858 0.253013665 0.26096335 0.26975952 0.27754163 0.284120886 0.290400461

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