ÐÐΪ½ðÈÚѧ¸´Ï°Ì⾫±à°æ ÏÂÔØ±¾ÎÄ

¾ßÓÐÀíÐÔÔ¤ÆÚµÄ½»Ò×ÕßÊÇÓÐЧÊг¡µÄ¡°µÞÔìÕß¡±£¬ËûÃÇÃ÷²ìÇïºÁ¡¢ÎÞËù²»Í¨£¬Ê¹ÓÐЧÊг¡Ïû³ýÁËÐÅÏ¢·Ç¶Ô³Æ£¡ÕâÑù£¬ÓÐЧÊг¡¼Ù˵ϵÄ×ʲú¶¨¼ÛÀíÂ۾ͿÉÒÔÖ»¿¼ÂÇÖ»´æÔÚ²»È·¶¨ÐÔ¶ø²»´æÔÚÐÅÏ¢·Ç¶Ô³ÆÐÔÇ龰ϵÄ×ʲú¶¨¼ÛÎÊÌâÁË¡£

ËùÒÔ˵£¬ÓÐЧÊг¡¼Ù˵ÊÇÏÖ´ú±ê×¼½ðÈÚÀíÂÛºËÐÄÓë»ùʯ¡£ 2£¬ ÐÐΪ½ðÈÚѧµÄ»ù±¾ÀíÂÛ»ù´¡ÊÇʲô£¿ £¨Ò»£©ÓÐÏÞÌ×Àû£¨limited arbitrage£©

Ì×ÀûÊÇÖ¸ÔÚÁ½¸ö²»Í¬µÄÊг¡ÉÏÒÔÓÐÀûµÄ²»Í¬¼Û¸ñͬʱÂôºÍÂòÏàͬµÄ»òʵÖÊÊÇÏàËÆµÄ×ʲúÒÔ»ñÀûµÄÐÐΪ¡£

Ì×ÀûµÄǰÌáÊÇÍêÈ«¾ºÕùÊг¡ºÍ´æÔÚ¿ÉÌæ´úµÄ×ʲú¡£ Ì×ÀûÐÐΪÊDZ£Ö¤Êг¡ÓÐЧºÍÊг¡¾ùºâµÄÌõ¼þ¡£ £¨¶þ£©ÓÐÏÞÀíÐÔ£¨Bounded rationality£© ±ê×¼½ðÈÚѧÖУ¨ÍêÈ«£©ÀíÐÔÈËÌØÕ÷

ÀíÐÔÈ˶Ը÷ÖÖ¾ö²ßµÄ½á¹û¾ßÓÐÍêÈ«¶ø×¼È·µÄÁ˽⣻

ÀíÐÔÈ˾ßÓÐÍêÈ«ÒâÖ¾ÄÜÁ¦ÒÔ±£Ö¤ÆäЧÓú¯Êý¾ßÓÐÓÐÐòÐԺ͵¥µ÷ÐÔ£» ÀíÐÔÈ˾ßÓгä·Ö¼ÆËãÄÜÁ¦£» ÀíÐÔÈ˾ßÓÐÍêÈ«¼ÇÒäÄÜÁ¦£»

¶ÔÓ°Ïì¾ö²ßµÄÒ»ÇÐÒòËØ¾ßÓÐÍêÈ«ÐÅÏ¢£»

ÀíÐÔÈ˽øÐоö²ß²»ÐèÒªÈκÎʱ¼ä£¬¶¼ÊÇ˲¼äÍê³ÉµÄ£» £¨Èý£©Ç°¾°ÀíÂÛ£¨Prospect Theory£© ¹ØÓÚ²»È·¶¨ÐÔ¾ö²ß£¬³¤ÆÚռͳÖεØÎ»µÄÀíÂÛÊÇvon NeumanºÍMorgensternÓÚ1944Ìá³öµÄÆÚÍûЧÓÃ(Expected Utility,EU)ÀíÂÛ¡£·ë¡¤ÅµÒÁÂü-Ħ¸ù˹̹£¨V ¡¤ N-M£©ÆÚÍûЧÓú¯Êý£º 3£¬ ÈËÃÇΪʲô»áƵ·±½»Ò×£¬¶Ô²Æ¸»»ýÀÛµÄÓ°ÏìÈçºÎ£¿

¹ý¶È×ÔÐŻᵼÖÂͶ×ÊÕ߷dz£È·ÐÅ×Ô¼ºµÄ¹Ûµã£¬´Ó¶øÔö¼ÓËûÃǽ»Ò׵ĿÉÄÜÐÔ£¬µ¼ÖÂÆµ·±½»Òס£

Ƶ·±½»Ò×¶ÔͶ×ÊÊÕÒæ²»Àû ½»Ò׳ɱ¾¸ß

Ƶ·±½»Ò×µ¼ÖÂÂò£¨Âô£©´í¹ÉƱ

4£¬ ÊÔÓÃͶ×ÊÕßµÄ×ÔÐÅÇéÐ÷ÖÜÆÚÀ´·ÖÎö¹ÉƱÊг¡µÄÖÜÆÚ²¨¶¯±ä»¯¡£ ¹ØÓÚ×ÔÐŵÄÇéÐ÷ÖÜÆÚ£¨7C£©

ÇáÊÓ£¨Contempt£© ½÷É÷£¨Caution£© ×ÔÐÅ£¨Confidence£© ÉîÐÅ£¨Conviction£© °²ÐÄ£¨Complacency£© ¹Ø×¢£¨Concern£© Ͷ½µ£¨Capitulation£©¡£

5£¬ ÊÔÊöͶ×ÊÕßÔÚÐÅÏ¢¼Ó¹¤½×¶ÎÈÝÒ׳öÏÖÄÄЩÈÏ֪ƫ²î£¿

Ò»£¬¼ò»¯ÐÅÏ¢´¦Àí£º´ú±íÐÔÆô·¢£¬Ò×µÃÐÔÆô·¢ºÍ궨Óëµ÷ÕûÆôʾ·¨ ¶þ£¬ÇéÐ÷Çé¸ÐµÄÓ°Ï죺Ðľ³ºÍ×ÔÎÒ¿ØÖÆ Èý£¬ÐÅÏ¢ÃèÊö·½Ê½£º¿ò¶¨Ð§Ó¦

ËÄ£¬¶ÔÐÂÐÅÏ¢µÄ̬¶È£º·´Ó¦¹ý¶ÈºÍ·´Ó¦²»×ã

13. TTFTF,TTFFF,FF

14. µ¥Ñ¡CCCAC,BCBBB,AADBC,CCCDD

15. ¶àÑ¡AD,ABD,ACD,ABC,ABCD,ABCD,BC,AC,BCD,ABC,A