目 录
中文摘要
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文
1 问题的提出 ...............................................................................................................III 2 相关文献综述—国内外研究现状 .............................................................................III 2.1 国外研究现状分析 ..................................................................................................III 2.2 国内研究现状分析 ................................................................................................. IV 3 国际货币体系的演变 ................................................................................................V 3.1 金本位制 ...................................................................................................................V 3.2布雷顿森林体系 ...................................................................................................... VI 3.3 国际货币体系多元化 ............................................................................................. VI 4 三大货币国际化的经验及对人民币国际化的启示 ............................................. VII 4.1 美元国际化的经验及对人民币国际化的启示 .................................................... VII 4.2 欧元国际化的经验及对人民币国际化的启示 ........................................................6 4.3 日元国际化的经验及对人民币国际化的启示 ........................................................6 5 人民币成为国际货币的利弊分析 ...............................................................................7 6 人民币成为国际货币的障碍:基于微观和宏观两个方面的分析 ........................ XI 6.1 人民币国际化微观层面的障碍 ................................................................................9 6.2 人民币国际化宏观层面的障碍 ............................................................................ XII 7 人民币成为国际货币的路径选择与前景分析 ......................................................XIV
参考文献.................................................................................................................. XVII 致 谢.................................................................................................................. XVII
人民币成为国际货币的障碍与前景分析
摘要:自改革开放30多年以来,中国经济快速发展,综合实力显著增强,在国际的大舞台上已经占据举足轻重的地位。人民币汇率稳中有升,人民币在中国与周边国家的贸易中得到越来越广泛的应用,大量人民币在境外流通,这一现实促使人们对人民币国际化问题给予了越来越多的关注。本文从历史经验的角度回顾了国际货币演变的过程和原因,对世界三大货币国际化的进程进行了比较分析,接着阐述了当前人民币国际化的背景,从微观和宏观两个方面分析了人民币成为国际的货币的障碍并最后对人民币国际化的前景作出了客观的分析。作者认为,积极慎重地选择与把握货币国际化的时机,稳定、渐进地促进人民币区域化与国际化,才是中国当前的选择。中国是21世纪最具有活力和发展潜力的国家,随着中国经济的快速稳定可持续发展,国际社会对中国逐渐认可,国际市场交易者和普通公众对人民币的信心增强,人民币终将跻身于国际货币之列。
关键词:人民币;国际货币;历史经验;区域化;国际化
RMB become international monetary the obstacles and
prospects analysis
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Abstract: the 30 years since reform and opening up, China's rapid economic development, comprehensive strength, significant increase in international large stage have dominated the balance of power. Yuan RMB exchange rate in China are in the trade with neighbouring countries are increasingly applied in overseas circulation, lots of RMB, this reality urges people to RMB internationalization problem given more and more attention. This paper reviewed the historical experience Angle of international monetary evolution process and reason, three world currency in the process of internationalization are analyzed, then expounds the background of RMB internationalization, from micro and macro and international three aspects analyzes become the international currency RMB yuan for barriers and finally the prospect of international made objective analysis. The author believes that actively the deliberate choice and grasp the opportunity, stable monetary internationalization, gradually to promote regional and international, is RMB Chinese current selection. China is the 21st century the most vibrant and growth potential of the country, as China's rapid economic stability sustainable development, international society to China gradually recognized, international market traders and the general public to renminbi yuan as confidence among rank among the world's most currencies will eventually.
Keywords: RMB;international currency;historical experience;regionalization;internationalization
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