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°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê2.3.2 ÀëÉ¢ÐÍËæ»ú±äÁ¿µÄ·½²î

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1.ÈôXµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐÈçϱíËùʾ,ÆäÖÐp¡Ê(0,1),Ôò( )

X P

0 p

1 q

A.E(X)=p,D(X)=pq B.E(X)=q,D(X)=pq C.E(X)=p,D(X)=1-p2 D.E(X)=q,D(X)=1-p2

½âÎö:ÓÉ·Ö²¼ÁÐÖªËæ»ú±äÁ¿X·þ´ÓÁ½µã·Ö²¼,

ËùÒÔE(X)=q,D(X)=pq. ´ð°¸:B 2.ÒÑÖª¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

¦Î P -1 0 1 Èô¦Ç=2¦Î+2,ÔòD(¦Ç)µÄֵΪ( )

A.-

B

C D ½âÎö:E(¦Î)=-1 +0 +1 =- ,

D(¦Î)= - , ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄêÔòD(¦Ç)=D(2¦Î+2)=4D(¦Î)=

´ð°¸:D 3.ÒÑÖªËæ»ú±äÁ¿¦Î·þ´Ó¶þÏî·Ö²¼,¼´¦Î~B(n,p),ÇÒE(¦Î)=7,D(¦Î)=6,ÔòpµÈÓÚ( )

A

B

C D ½âÎö:¸ù¾Ý·þ´Ó¶þÏî·Ö²¼µÄËæ»ú±äÁ¿¾ùÖµºÍ·½²îµÄ¼ÆË㹫ʽ,¿ÉµÃnp=7,np(1-p)=6,½âµÃp=

´ð°¸:A 4.ÒÑÖªËæ»ú±äÁ¿¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐÈçÏÂ,ÈôE(¦Î)=

,ÔòD(¦Î)µÈÓÚ( )

¦Î 1 2 3 P 0.5 x y A

B C D ½âÎö:ÓÉ·Ö²¼ÁÐÐÔÖÊ,µÃx+y=0.5.

¡ßE(¦Î)= y= ,¡à2x+3 ,½âµÃ

¡àD(¦Î)= -

- -

´ð°¸:B 5.ºÐÖÐÓÐ2¸ö°×Çò,3¸öºÚÇò,´ÓÖÐÈÎÈ¡3¸ö,ÒԦαíʾȡµ½µÄ°×Çò¸öÊý,¦Ç±íʾȡµ½µÄºÚÇò¸öÊý,Ôò(A.E(¦Î)=E(¦Ç),ÇÒD(¦Î)=D(¦Ç) B.E(¦Î)=3-E(¦Ç),ÇÒD(¦Î)=3-D(¦Ç) C.E(¦Î)=E(¦Ç),ÇÒD(¦Î)=3-D(¦Ç) D.E(¦Î)=3-E(¦Ç),ÇÒD(¦Î)=D(¦Ç)

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ ) °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê½âÎö:¡ß¦Î+¦Ç=3,¡à¦Ç=3-¦Î,¡àE(¦Ç)=3-E(¦Î),ÇÒD(¦Ç)=(-1)2D(¦Î)=D(¦Î),¹ÊÑ¡D. ´ð°¸:D 6.¼×¡¢ÒÒÁ½Ãû¹¤È˼ӹ¤Í¬Ò»ÖÖÁã¼þ,Á½ÈËÿÌì¼Ó¹¤µÄÁã¼þÊýÏàµÈ,ËùµÃ´ÎÆ·Êý·Ö±ðΪ¦Î,¦Ç,¦ÎºÍ¦ÇµÄ·Ö²¼ÁзֱðΪ

¦Î P 0 1 2

¦Ç P 0 1 2 ¼×¡¢ÒÒÁ½Ãû¹¤È˵ļ¼Êõˮƽ½ÏºÃµÄΪ( ) A.Ò»ÑùºÃ C.ÒÒ

B.¼× D.ÎÞ·¨±È½Ï

½âÎö:¹¤È˼×Éú²ú³ö´ÎÆ·Êý¦ÎµÄ¾ùÖµºÍ·½²î·Ö±ðΪ:

E(¦Î)=0 +1 +2 =0.7,

D(¦Î)=(0-0.7)2 +(1-0.7)2 +(2-0.7)2 =0.81. ¹¤ÈËÒÒÉú²ú³ö´ÎÆ·Êý¦ÇµÄ¾ùÖµºÍ·½²î·Ö±ðΪ:

E(¦Ç)=0 +1 +2 =0.7,

+(1-0.7)2 +(2-0.7)2 =0.61. D(¦Ç)=(0-0.7)2

ÓÉE(¦Î)=E(¦Ç)Öª,Á½È˳ö´ÎÆ·µÄƽ¾ùÊýÏàͬ,¼¼ÊõˮƽÏ൱,µ«D(¦Î)>D(¦Ç),¿É¼ûÒҵļ¼Êõ±È½ÏÎȶ¨. ´ð°¸:C

7.ÈôËæ»ú±äÁ¿¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪP(¦Î=m)= ,P(¦Î=n)=a,ÈôE(¦Î)=2,ÔòD(¦Î)µÄ×îСֵµÈÓÚ( )

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄêA.0 C.4

B.2 D.ÎÞ·¨¼ÆËã

½âÎö:ÔÚ·Ö²¼ÁÐÖÐ,¸ÅÂʺÍΪ1,

Ôòa+=1,¹Êa=

¡ßE(¦Î)=2, ¡àm=6-2n.

=2,

¡àD(¦Î)= (m-2)2+ (n-2)2= (n-2)2+ (6-2n-2)2=2n2-8n+8=2(n-2)2. ¡àµ±n=2ʱ,D(¦Î)È¡×îСֵ0.

´ð°¸:A 8.ÈôpΪ·Ç¸ºÊµÊý,Ëæ»ú±äÁ¿XµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

X P 0

1 p 2 -p

ÔòE(X)µÄ×î´óÖµÊÇ ,D(X)µÄ×î´óÖµÊÇ .

½âÎö:ÓÉ·Ö²¼ÁÐÐÔÖÊ¿ÉÖªp ,

ÔòE(X)=p+1 ,¹ÊE(X)µÄ×î´óֵΪ

ÓÖD(X)= - (p+1)2+p(p+1-1)2+ (p+1-2)2=-p2-p+1=- ,

¡ßp ,

¡àµ±p=0ʱ,D(X)È¡µÃ×î´óÖµ1.

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê´ð°¸: 1

9.¼×¡¢ÒÒÁ½¸öÒ°Éú¶¯Îï±£»¤ÇøÓÐÏàͬµÄ×ÔÈ»»·¾³,ÇÒÒ°Éú¶¯ÎïµÄÖÖÀàºÍÊýÁ¿Ò²´óÖÂÏàµÈ,¶øÁ½¸ö±£»¤ÇøÄÚÿ¸ö¼¾¶È·¢ÏÖÎ¥·´Ò°Éú¶¯Îï±£»¤ÌõÀýµÄʼþ´ÎÊýµÄ·Ö²¼ÁзֱðΪ ¼×:

¦Î P 0 0.3 1 0.3 2 0.2 3 0.2 ÒÒ:

¦Ç P 0 0.1 1 0.5 2 0.4 ÊÔÆÀ¶¨ÕâÁ½¸ö±£»¤ÇøµÄ¹ÜÀíˮƽ.

½â:¼×±£»¤ÇøÎ¥¹æ´ÎÊý¦ÎµÄ¾ùÖµºÍ·½²îΪE(¦Î)=0¡Á0.3+1¡Á0.3+2¡Á0.2+3¡Á0.2=1.3,

D(¦Î)=(0-1.3)2¡Á0.3+(1-1.3)2¡Á0.3+(2-1.3)2¡Á0.2+(3-1.3)2¡Á0.2=1.21. ÒÒ±£»¤ÇøÎ¥¹æ´ÎÊý¦ÇµÄ¾ùÖµºÍ·½²îΪ

E(¦Ç)=0¡Á0.1+1¡Á0.5+2¡Á0.4=1.3,D(¦Ç)=(0-1.3)2¡Á0.1+(1-1.3)2¡Á0.5+(2-1.3)2¡Á0.4=0.41.

ÒòΪE(¦Î)=E(¦Ç),D(¦Î)>D(¦Ç),ËùÒÔÁ½¸ö±£»¤ÇøÄÚÿ¸ö¼¾¶È·¢ÉúµÄÎ¥¹æÊ¼þµÄƽ¾ù´ÎÊýÏàͬ,µ«¼×±£»¤ÇøµÄÎ¥¹æÊ¼þ´ÎÊýÏà¶Ô·ÖÉ¢ºÍ²¨¶¯,ÒÒ±£»¤ÇøÄÚµÄÎ¥¹æÊ¼þ´ÎÊý¸ü¼¯ÖкÍÎȶ¨.

ÄÜÁ¦ÌáÉý

1.´ÓѧУ³ËÆû³µµ½»ð³µÕ¾µÄ;ÖÐÓÐ3¸ö½»Í¨¸Ú,¼ÙÉèÔÚ¸÷¸ö½»Í¨¸ÚÓöµ½ºìµÆµÄʼþÊÇÏ໥¶ÀÁ¢µÄ,²¢ÇÒ¸ÅÂʶ¼ÊÇ,Éè¦ÎΪ;ÖÐÓöµ½ºìµÆµÄ´ÎÊý,ÔòËæ»ú±äÁ¿¦ÎµÄ·½²îΪ

( )

A

B

C

D

½âÎö:ÓÉËæ»ú±äÁ¿¦Î·þ´Ó¶þÏî·Ö²¼,

¼´¦Î~B ,¿ÉµÃD(¦Î)=3

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê´ð°¸:B 2.ÉèÒ»´ÎÊÔÑé³É¹¦µÄ¸ÅÂÊΪp,½øÐÐ100´Î¶ÀÁ¢Öظ´ÊÔÑé,µ±p= ʱ,³É¹¦´ÎÊýµÄ±ê×¼²îµÄ×î´óֵΪ .

-

½âÎö:D(¦Î)=np(1-p)¡Ün

,µÈºÅÔÚp=1-p,¼´p= ʱ³ÉÁ¢,´Ëʱ,D(¦Î)=25, =5.

´ð°¸: 5

3.Ëæ»ú±äÁ¿¦ÎµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

¦Î P

-1 a 0 b 1 c ÆäÖÐa,b,c³ÉµÈ²îÊýÁÐ,ÈôE(¦Î)= ,ÔòD(¦Î)= . ½âÎö:¡ßa,b,c³ÉµÈ²îÊýÁÐ,¡à2b=a+c.

¡ßE(¦Î)= ,¡à-a+c= ,ÇÒa+b+c=1,

-

µÃ - ½âµÃ

¡àD(¦Î)= - - - -

´ð°¸: 4.ºÐÖÐÓÐ2¸ö°×Çò,3¸öºÚÇò,´ÓÖÐÈÎÈ¡3¸öÇò,ÒÔX±íʾȡµ½°×ÇòµÄ¸öÊý,¦Ç±íʾȡµ½ºÚÇòµÄ¸öÊý.¸ø³öÏÂÁи÷Ïî:

¢ÙE(X)= ,E(¦Ç)= ;¢ÚE(X2)=E(¦Ç);

¢ÛE(¦Ç2)=E(X);¢ÜD(X)=D(¦Ç)=

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄêÆäÖÐÕýÈ·µÄÊÇ .(ÌîÉÏËùÓÐÕýÈ·ÏîµÄÐòºÅ) ½âÎö:XµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

X P 0

1 2 E(X)=0

+1 +2

, E(X2)=02

+12 +22 ,

D(X)=E(X)-(E(X))¦ÇµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

22

=

¦Ç P 1 2 3 E(¦Ç)=1

+2 +3 ,

E(¦Ç2)=12 +22 +32 ,

D(¦Ç)=E(¦Ç2)-(E(¦Ç))2= ´ð°¸:¢Ù¢Ú¢Ü

5.ijͬѧÏòÈçͼµÄÔ²ÐΰÐͶÖÀ·ÉïÚ,·ÉïÚÂäÔÚ°ÐÍâ(»·Êý¼ÇΪ0)µÄ¸ÅÂÊΪ0.1,·ÉïÚÂäÔÚ°ÐÄڵĸ÷¸öµãÊÇËæ»úµÄ.ÒÑÖªÔ²ÐΰÐÖÐÈý¸öԲΪͬÐÄÔ²,°ë¾¶·Ö±ðΪ30 cm,20 cm,10 cm,·ÉïÚÂäÔÚ²»Í¬ÇøÓòµÄ»·ÊýÈçͼ.ÉèÕâλͬѧͶÖÀÒ»´ÎµÃµ½µÄ»·ÊýÎªËæ»ú±äÁ¿X,ÇóXµÄ·Ö²¼ÁС¢¾ùÖµºÍ·½²î.

½â:ÓÉÌâÒâ¿ÉÖª,·ÉïÚÂäÔÚ°ÐÄÚ¸÷¸öÇøÓòµÄ¸ÅÂÊÓëËüÃǵÄÃæ»ý³ÉÕý±È,¶øÓëËüÃǵÄÖÊÁ¿ºÍÐÎ×´ÎÞ¹Ø.

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄêÓÉÔ²µÄ°ë¾¶Öµ¿ÉµÃµ½Èý¸öͬÐÄÔ²µÄ°ë¾¶±ÈΪ3¡Ã2¡Ã1,Ãæ»ý±ÈΪ9¡Ã4¡Ã1,ËùÒÔ8»·ÇøÓò¡¢9»·ÇøÓò¡¢10»·ÇøÓòµÄÃæ»ý±ÈΪ5¡Ã3¡Ã1,ÔòÖÀµÃ8»·¡¢9»·¡¢10»·µÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö±ðÉèΪ5k,3k,k,¸ù¾ÝÀëÉ¢ÐÍËæ»ú±äÁ¿·Ö²¼ÁеÄÐÔÖÊÓÐ0.1+5k+3k+k=1,½âµÃk=0.1,µÃµ½ÀëÉ¢ÐÍËæ»ú±äÁ¿XµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

X P 0 0.1 8 0.5 9 0.3 10 0.1

XµÄ¾ùÖµE(X)=0¡Á0.1+8¡Á0.5+9¡Á0.3+10¡Á0.1=7.7.

D(X)=0.1¡Á(0-7.7)2+0.5¡Á(8-7.7)2+0.3¡Á(9-7.7)2+0.1¡Á(10-7.7)2=7.01.

¡ï6.ΪÁËӭսϽì°ÂÔË»á,¶Ô¼×¡¢ÒÒÁ½ÃûÉäÊÖ½øÐÐÒ»´ÎÑ¡°ÎÈü.ÒÑÖª¼×¡¢ÒÒÁ½ÃûÉäÊÖÔÚÿ´ÎÉä»÷Öл÷ÖеĻ·Êý¾ù´óÓÚ6»·,ÇÒ¼×ÉäÖÐ10,9,8,7»·µÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö±ðΪ0.5,3a,a,0.1,ÒÒÉäÖÐ10,9,8»·µÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö±ðΪ0.3,0.3,0.2.Éè¦Î,¦Ç·Ö±ð±íʾ¼×¡¢ÒÒÿ´Î»÷ÖеĻ·Êý. (1)Çó¦Î,¦ÇµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐ;

(2)Çó¦Î,¦ÇµÄ¾ùÖµÓë·½²î,²¢ÒԴ˱Ƚϼס¢ÒÒµÄÉä»÷¼¼Êõ. ½â:(1)ÒÀ¾ÝÌâÒâÖª,0.5+3a+a+0.1=1,½âµÃa=0.1.

¡ßÒÒÉäÖÐ10,9,8»·µÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö±ðΪ0.3,0.3,0.2, ¡àÒÒÉäÖÐ7»·µÄ¸ÅÂÊΪ1-(0.3+0.3+0.2)=0.2. ¡à¦Î,¦ÇµÄ·Ö²¼ÁзֱðΪ

¦Î P 10 0.5 9 0.3 8 0.1 7 0.1

¦Ç P 10 0.3 9 0.3 8 0.2 7 0.2

(2)½áºÏ(1)ÖЦÎ,¦ÇµÄ·Ö²¼ÁпɵÃ: E(¦Î)=10¡Á0.5+9¡Á0.3+8¡Á0.1+7¡Á0.1=9.2,

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄêE(¦Ç)=10¡Á0.3+9¡Á0.3+8¡Á0.2+7¡Á0.2=8.7,

D(¦Î)=(10-9.2)2¡Á0.5+(9-9.2)2¡Á0.3+(8-9.2)2¡Á0.1+(7-9.2)2¡Á0.1=0.96, D(¦Ç)=(10-8.7)2¡Á0.3+(9-8.7)2¡Á0.3+(8-8.7)2¡Á0.2+(7-8.7)2¡Á0.2=1.21.

¡ßE(¦Î)>E(¦Ç),˵Ã÷¼×ƽ¾ùÉäÖеĻ·Êý±ÈÒÒ¸ß.

ÓÖD(¦Î)

½µË®Á¿X ¹¤ÆÚÑÓÎóÌìÊýY X<300 0 300¡ÜX<700 2 700¡ÜX<900 6 X¡Ý900 10

ÀúÄêÆøÏó×ÊÁϱíÃ÷,¸Ã¹¤³ÌÊ©¹¤ÆÚ¼ä½µË®Á¿XСÓÚ300,700,900µÄ¸ÅÂÊ·Ö±ðΪ0.3,0.7,0.9,Çó: (1)¹¤ÆÚÑÓÎóÌìÊýYµÄ¾ùÖµÓë·½²î;

(2)ÔÚ½µË®Á¿ÖÁÉÙÊÇ300µÄÌõ¼þÏÂ,¹¤ÆÚÑÓÎó²»³¬¹ý6ÌìµÄ¸ÅÂÊ. ½â:(1)ÓÉÒÑÖªÌõ¼þÓÐ

P(X<300)=0.3,P(300¡ÜX<700)=P(X<700)-P(X<300)=0.7-0.3=0.4, P(700¡ÜX<900)=P(X<900)-P(X<700)=0.9-0.7=0.2, P(X¡Ý900)=1-P(X<900)=1-0.9=0.1. ËùÒÔYµÄ·Ö²¼ÁÐΪ

Y P 0 0.3 2 0.4 6 0.2 10 0.1

ÓÚÊÇ,E(Y)=0¡Á0.3+2¡Á0.4+6¡Á0.2+10¡Á0.1=3,

D(Y)=(0-3)2¡Á0.3+(2-3)2¡Á0.4+(6-3)2¡Á0.2+(10-3)2¡Á0.1=9.8.

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê¹Ê¹¤ÆÚÑÓÎóÌìÊýYµÄ¾ùֵΪ3,·½²îΪ9.8.

(2)ÓɸÅÂʵļӷ¨¹«Ê½,P(X¡Ý300)=1-P(X<300)=0.7,ÓÖP(300¡ÜX<900)=P(X<900)-P(X<300)=0.9-0.3=0.6.

ÓÉÌõ¼þ¸ÅÂÊ,µÃP(Y¡Ü6|X¡Ý300)=P(X<900|X¡Ý300)=

¹ÊÔÚ½µË®Á¿XÖÁÉÙÊÇ300µÄÌõ¼þÏÂ,¹¤ÆÚÑÓÎó²»³¬¹ý6ÌìµÄ¸ÅÂÊÊÇ

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê

ºÍÈκÎÈËºÇºÇºÇ °ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê°ÝÄê

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